The Pittsburgh Pirates (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Pirates are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 8-8 ATS.
Pirates vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 1-2, 4.00 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-1, 3.45 ERA
Pirates vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Butto has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Luis Severino has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 12-5 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 29.32% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 32.97% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 11.97% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -21.24% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 8-8 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 4.74% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.31% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -5.34% ROI
Mets vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (58/147) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (58/147) against Jared Jones this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strikeout rate of 35% (25 SO in 72 PAs) this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Jared Jones has struck out 41% (17/41) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (142/249) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 44% (43/97) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of batters they faced (24/70 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (164/287) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.