The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 12-13 ATS.
Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 1-4, 4.35 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-2, 6.36 ERA
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+2.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 16-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 12-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Leody Taveras (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo’s K:BB ratio is 17.0 (17/1) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (35 Total Bases / 58 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (28 Total Bases / 44 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .170 (25-for-147) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/67) against Andrew Heaney on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (15/34) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (340/626) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.