Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 25
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 25

The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 12-13 ATS.

Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 1-4, 4.35 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-2, 6.36 ERA

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Montgomery has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+2.65 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 154 games (+22.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 154 games (+20.88 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 154 games (+15.28 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 16-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 12-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +230 0.5 -300
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ty France (SEA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Leody Taveras (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Luis Castillo’s K:BB ratio is 17.0 (17/1) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (35 Total Bases / 58 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — first Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (28 Total Bases / 44 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — sixth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .170 (25-for-147) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (8/67) against Andrew Heaney on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (15/34) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (340/626) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
Read Full Article
  
  

Leave a Reply