The Philadelphia Phillies (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Phillies are 15-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 13-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 1-3, 2.30 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 4.77 ERA
Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.50 Units / 230% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 74 of their last 139 games (+16.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 11-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 13-11 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,747/4,078) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .209 (79 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .488 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (652/1,523) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has struck out 36% (23/63) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .367 (29-for-79) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 12th highest among among 125 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .424 (14-for-33) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .270 — fifth Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (367/728) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (367/728) since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.