The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-160) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 14-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 16-8 ATS.
Red Sox vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Chase Anderson 0-0, 2.77 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 2-2, 4.91 ERA
Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.90 Units / 82% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 71 games at home (+19.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 15-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 16-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (37/50) this season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 96th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has a strike rate of 70% (40/57) in two strike counts this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 92nd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (5/23) against Chase Anderson this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Chase Anderson has struck out just 11% (3/27) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 7th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 15 of 83 batters (18%) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has not struck out any hitters in 24 PA’s in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of .415 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.