The San Diego Padres (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Padres are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-6 ATS.

Padres vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 1-1, 2.16 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley 0-0, 2.46 ERA

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 80% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 146 games (+15.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 10-9 against the Run Line (+2.87 Units / 12.82% ROI).

• 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.94 Units / 4.07% ROI
• 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.47 Units / 6.97% ROI
• 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -13.18% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-6 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 14.39% ROI).

• 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 31.64% ROI
• 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 40.66% ROI
• 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -48.04% ROI

Brewers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

5 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

5 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .212 (66 PAs) this season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OPS of just .158 (33 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (304/572) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 42% of the time (225/537) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CUT; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley located his fastball inside 53% of the time (242/460) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.1 innings pitched — Ronel Blanco has the longest active streak at 22.1.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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