The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Guardians are 11-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 9-8 ATS.

Guardians vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 1-0, 6.08 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock 1-0, 1.26 ERA

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Triston McKenzie has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• David Fry has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.25 Units / 85% ROI)
• Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.95 Units / 64% ROI)
• Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Pablo Reyes has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
• Brayan Bello has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.72 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 11-5 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 26.15% ROI).

• 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 25.51% ROI
• 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 12.96% ROI
• 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -22.86% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 1.07% ROI).

• 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 1.98% ROI
• 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -15.38% ROI
• 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 7.28% ROI

Red Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .520 (13-for-25) against Tanner Bibee’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 0 Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 — 98th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .920 (23 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 1 of Tanner Bibee’s 35 elevated fastballs out of the zone (3%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Whitlock has allowed a slugging percentage of just .033 (1 Total Bases / 30 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against Garrett Whitlock with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/29) against Garrett Whitlock on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has not allowed a hit to any of the last 33 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Lucas Erceg has the longest active streak at 49.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

  
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