Let's look into some mispriced betting lines for UFC Charlotte: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida on Saturday and see which fighters are overvalued and which are undervalued heading into the 12-fight event.
UFC Charlotte, also dubbed UFC on ABC 4, takes place at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. The early preliminary card and regular prelims stream on ESPN+ beginning at 11:30 a.m. ET (8:30 a.m. PT), and the main card is available on ABC at 3 p.m. ET.
One of the first “aha!” moments I had in gambling (generally, not just MMA) was to start thinking about why markets might be wrong rather than just trying to predict what I think will happen.
At its core, that's what a betting line is: a market where we can “buy” or “sell” events happening. For the most part, these markets are efficient, with the “price” eventually reflecting the true odds of the event.