UFC 297 Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC 297 predictions and picks for January 20th with Sean Strickland and Dricus Du Plessis headlining th e event in a middleweight title fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada.
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Sean Strickland vs Dricus Du Plessis: UFC 297 Main Event
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UFC 297 Predictions
Malcolm Gordon -130 v Jimmy Flick +110
Both these guys are bad, but Jimmy Flick is worse. Flick came back to UFC and was pretty open that he had/is having money and personal trouble and wanted to get back into fighting, and it's gone terrible as he's gotten ground and pounded in both fights since his return, and hasn't shown much potential.
Flick is one dimensional as he wants the fight to get on the ground so he can serach submissions, but if he doesn't get there on his submission, he's pretty much worthless.
Gordon isn't great, but he has striking, and decent defense on the ground. As bad as he is, he should get this win against Flick who is one of the worst fighters on the roster.
Jasmine Jasudavicius -395 v Priscila Cachoeira +310
The last two fights for Jasudavicius have been interesting as she had a cominating win agianst Miranda Maverick, but Maverick was pretty adament that the eye poke in round one compromised her vision which would explain the lack of activity from her.
Jasudavicius looked great in that match, but lost the next fight to Tracy Cortez who was able to out wrestle her.
The line is so wide on this fight because Cachoeira has a weakness with takedowns and wrestling as Miranda Maverick was able to take her down and eventually get the submission in round 3 in her last fight, and that's the obvious path to victory for Jasmine in this fight.
Cachoeira should have the striking advantage, but Jasudavicius will probably close the distance and not let Cachoeira stand at range. Jasmine is the pick to win, but the line is too wide for me to bet.
Yohan Lainesse -155 v Sam Patterson +130
I will be playing this fight to go under 2.5 rounds as this should be a brutal striking match on the feet. Lainesse has power, but his cardio is a big question as he has faded in his fights, and 3 out of his 4 Contender Series and UFC fights haven't made it to round 3.
Patterson is a tall, lanky fighter who has power, but he was brutally knocked out in his UFC debut by Yanal Ashmouz so we saw that when he stepped up in competition, his chin and striking defense didn't hold up.
Paterson has had 13 pro fights, and 11 haven't gone the distance. I expect someone to go to sleep in this one, the under is the way to play this one.
Gillian Robertson -230 v Polyana Viana +190
I'm not high on either of these fighters as both have holes in their game so I won't be betting on it. Viana can only beat the worst fighters in the UFC and every time she gets a step up in competition she loses, and Robertson would be considered a decent competitor despite her 12-8 record.
Most of Robertson's wins have come by submission, and she only has one decision win in her UFC career so if you like Robertson to win, you might as well wait til props come out and take her to win ITD, but I won't be betting on this fight.
Serhiy Sidey -175 v Ramon Taveras +145
This is a great fight to go under as it's a rematch from Contender Series. Dana White has a hard on for Taveras for some reason, but I'm not that impressed by him as he's a boxer and isn't well rounded.
He got finished by Sidey on Contender Series, but Dana White threw a hissy fit and said it was a fast stoppage so he gave Taveras another fight against somone who might as well have been a mannequin.
Sidey has striking and a solid ground game and I expect him to win again here as Taveras has a lot of work to do to compete in the UFC in my opinion.
However, Taveras does have power and a punchers chance so I'll be playing this fight under 2.5 rounds as a parlay piece as both fighters are very aggressive and are constantly searching for finishes.
Charles Jourdain -180 v Sean Woodson +140
Jourdain is the rightful favorite here as I'm not real high on Woodson, despite his great record at 10-1. Woodson is tall and big for the division, but he just doesn't look like the killer that he should be.
He has one finish in the UFC and that's to Colin Anglin who isn't in the UFC and he's losing fights on the regional scene.
Woodson has effective point striking, but the volume and power just isn't there to get finishes it appears. Jourdain is coming off a sick submission win against Ricardo Ramos where Ramons shot in and ended up on top, but Jourdain scrambled and got the nice submission.
For me, I just don't trust Jourdain as that win was a bit random, and the rest of his wins in the UFC have been to subpar opponents, and when he's faced better opponents like Nathaniel Wood, Shane Burgos and Julian Erosa, he's lost them all.
I think the best way to play this fight is to take it to go the distance or use some alt line overs. This is probably going to be a fight that takes place on the feet, and neither guy has the power that scares anyone. This fight to start round 2 would be a nice parlay pice for me.
Brad Katona -192 v Garrett Armfield +160
It's a Brad Katona fight so I'll be taking an over of some sort. Katona has 14 fights that have gone the distance in his career including 6 straight.
He's not a power striker, and he doesn't have a great submission game so he grinds out wins with his technique and solid cardio.
Most of his fights are fairly boring, but his last fight in the UFC against Cody Gibson was a great fight that took place on the feet and both guys had success piecing up the other, but again…it went the distance.
Garrett Armfield is 1-1 in the UFC and has fought a really good opponent and a really bad opponent so this will be interesting to see how he looks against someone pretty close to his equal in my opinion.
He won his last fight by KO, but his opponent was terrible so I don't expect him to have that level of success.
I'll lean Katona to win this fight just because he seemingly never gets tired and should have more left in the tank later in the fight, but instead of a side I'll just play this over 1.5 as a parlay piece or just play it to go the distance.