Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 14
Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 14

The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Twins are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-7 ATS.

Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 12.80 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 5.41 ERA

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+9.39 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 4-7 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -26.09% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -30.65% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -31.64% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 25.33% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -13.8% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 16.06% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gio Urshela (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alex Kirilloff (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Alex Kirilloff (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jack Flaherty (DET) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Bailey Ober (MIN) 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .862 (25 Total Bases / 29 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of 1.317 (33 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 0 Percentile.

Bailey Ober has an ERA of 12.79 (6.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 — second Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,193/1,541) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .445 (254 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 39 of 254 batters (15%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .317 (357 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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