The Kansas City Royals (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Royals are 9-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-7 ATS.
Royals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 2.60 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Butto 0-0, 1.50 ERA
Royals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dairon Blanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-5 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 12.28% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 26.38% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -25.55% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 18.92% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI
Mets vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Mets vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brett Baty (NYM) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mets vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .189 (32 Total Bases / 169 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (48/142) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Butto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (3 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Butto has walked 3 of 23 batters (13%) this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Butto has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (8/16) of opposing batters this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.