The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 3-11 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 1-0, 3.38 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-2, 7.37 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 110% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.30 Units / 53% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.60 Units / 107% ROI)
• Christian Bethancour has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.60 Units / 107% ROI)
• Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 75% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 87 of their last 153 games (+17.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.34 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -15.85% ROI).

• 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.93% ROI
• 9-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 51.52% ROI
• 2-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -59.47% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 3-11 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -62.26% ROI).

• 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -68.34% ROI
• 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 24.26% ROI
• 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -31.19% ROI

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (1,485/4,203) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton allowed an OBP of .344 (713 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (2,406/5,941) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .582 (32 Total Bases / 55 ABs) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .388 — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has walked 9 of 65 batters (14%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .958 (23 Total Bases / 24 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .552 — second Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .743 (26 Total Bases / 35 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: .376 — second Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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