The Cincinnati Reds (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Reds are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-6 ATS.
Reds vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 1-1, 5.41 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-1, 6.28 ERA
Reds vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dominic Fletcher has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Braden Shewmake has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Braden Shewmake has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -8.15% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.29% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 46.83% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -56.6% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-6 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -1.28% ROI).
- 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -56.92% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -21.31% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 10.28% ROI
White Sox vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
White Sox vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Benson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Soroka (CWS) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .325 (37-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (18 Total Bases / 23 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .406 — fourth Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 22nd, 2023 — Aaron Civale has the longest active streak at 7.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 12% (8/64) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 64 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 64 PAs) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.