Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 14
Rangers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 14

The Texas Rangers (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Rangers are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 4-11 ATS.

Rangers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 1-0, 1.45 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier 1-0, 1.10 ERA

Rangers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.45 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Andrew Knizner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.95 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.85 Units / 128% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chas McCormick has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Chas McCormick has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 93 of their last 167 games (+27.18 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 165 games (+23.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 98 of their last 165 games (+22.78 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 76 games at home (+8.58 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -3.97% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.72% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -16.83% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.95% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 4-11 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -37.38% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -52.2% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -17.22% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 8.51% ROI

Astros vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Astros vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kyle Tucker (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Astros vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -105 0.5 -120
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Astros vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristian Javier (HOU) 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/361) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Nathan Eovaldi’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: .215 — 93rd Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .160 (25 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Nathan Eovaldi’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 93rd Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (119/459) against Cristian Javier in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a strike rate of just 58% (162/280) this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (78/355) against Cristian Javier since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (44/220) against Cristian Javier since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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