The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 7-10 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 5.01 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-1, 2.60 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.40 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+7.90 Units / 158% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 6-13 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -32.17% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.94% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-10 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -23.8% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -29.66% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -21.82% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 14.29% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 56% (14/25) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has not walked any of the 42 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (43/126) against Jack Flaherty this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty’s has 12 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 61% (11 SO in 18 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (193/267) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (117/162) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 34% (24 SO in 70 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.