Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19
Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 19

The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 12-7 ATS.

Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 0-1, 4.86 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 2-0, 4.32 ERA

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 148 games (+30.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 72 away games (+25.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 69 away games (+19.47 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 away games (+14.61 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-7 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 32.57% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 15.22% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 26.67% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -36.08% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 12-7 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 13.04% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -35.33% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 28.15% ROI

Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (36/109) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .118 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .695 — 98th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (454/804) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 9 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 21st Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on sliders this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .365 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (11/36) against Alec Marsh in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 11th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (2/20) against Alec Marsh on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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