The Washington Nationals (+170) visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches to take on the Houston Astros (-210) on Sunday, March 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in West Palm Beach.

The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Nationals vs Astros Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Nationals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 4-2 ATS.

Nationals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 72.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tres Barrera has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.10 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
• David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 70% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+2.95 Units / 37% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 81 away games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 95 games (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 27 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -8.97% ROI).

• 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.83% ROI
• 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
• 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 27.03% ROI).

• 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 27.45% ROI
• 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -37.96% ROI
• 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 29.13% ROI

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Division opponents batted .350 against Patrick Corbin (104-for-297) last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of 1.047 (356 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .753 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .324 (73-for-225) against Patrick Corbin’s non-fastballs last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (654/1,506) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 94th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Garcia allowed a slugging percentage of .822 (60 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on low fastballs last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Garcia has averaged 79.3 MPH on sliders since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 85.2 — fourth Percentile.

Luis Garcia allowed an OBP of just .203 (128 PA’s) with runners in scoring position last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.

  
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