The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Sunday, March 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Orioles are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-1 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -67.5% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -52.26% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 26.87% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 6-1 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 66.11% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 35.9% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -44.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish had an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.
Division opponents batted .324 against Kyle Bradish (85-for-262) last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Kyle Bradish had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (294/509) last season — tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents batted .410 (25-for-61) against Kyle Bradish on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 10th Percentile.