Familiar playoff foes clash at TD Garden when the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics open their Round 1 NBA playoff series, and we have you covered with our Heat vs. Celtics player props based on the best NBA odds.
The No. 8 Miami Heat and No. 1 Boston Celtics are set to renew their playoff rivalry for the third consecutive season, adding to their history of intense postseason matchups. Both teams have traded Eastern Conference Finals victories in their last two encounters. However, this time around, the Heat find themselves as heavy underdogs, according to our best sports betting sites.
The Celtics dominated the regular season, boasting the NBA's best record at 64-18 and entering the playoffs at full strength. On the other hand, Miami secured the No. 8 seed through the Play-In Tournament but will face the challenge without their star forward, Jimmy Butler, who is sidelined for the foreseeable f uture with an MCL strain.
To accompany our 2024 NBA Playoffs betting preview, here are our best Heat vs. Celtics player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 player props
- Tyler Herro Over 33.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105 via DraftKings) ????
- Jayson Tatum Over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-102 via FanDuel) ????
- Nikola Jovic Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (+140 via bet365) ???
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Heat vs. Celtics prop bet predictions for Sunday
Herro has averaged 31.6 points + rebounds + assists (PRAs) this season, behind averages of 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists. In Friday's win, he took the Chicago Bulls by the horns, posting 43 PRAs after racking up 36 against the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday.
Herro hit the Over in only 14 of 42 regular season games, but he's hit it in four of his last six while averaging 35.1. He averaged 33.7 in three games against Boston this season, including 40 in his lone matchup at TD Garden. The absence of Butler frees up plenty of opportunities, and Terry Rozier (neck) is in danger of missing a seventh straight game. Herro will need to be heroic for the underdog Heat.
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Best odds: -105 via DraftKings
Tatum hit the Over in just 30 of 74 regular-season games, averaging 39.9 PRAs. His team is loaded, and there are plenty of mouths to feed, but superstars take over in the playoffs, and we're counting on Tatum delivering a strong performance at home.
He has played 14 games against Miami over the last two playoffs, averaging 40.5 points + rebounds + assists. He hit the Over in eight of them or 57.1%. The implied probability of our FanDuel odds is 50.5%, giving us a value play.
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Best odds: -102 via FanDuel
The second-year man has played well this season, averaging 1.4 triples in 19.5 minutes. He's started each of his last 28 appearances and bumped his three-point average to 1.7 in those contests. Jovic's minutes have been inconsistent as a starter or off the bench, but he's averaged 2.5 triples in 13 games with at least 25 minutes, hitting the Over seven times.
Jovic logged 27 minutes in Friday's win, and he should see meaningful minutes again on Sunday with Butler sidelined. Rozier's potential return is unlikely to cut into Jovic's minutes because he plays forward significantly. The implied probability of these odds is 41.7%, and a $10 wager on this prop yields a return of $14. Given his success when given substantial playing time, we're getting quality value.
Best odds: +140 via bet365
Heat vs. Celtics Game 1 info & odds
- When: Sunday, April 21, 2024
- Tip-off: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Garden, Boston, Mass.
- How to watch: ABC
- Favorite: Celtics -13 (Odds via DraftKings)
Heat-Celtics player props made Saturday at 7:30 a.m. ET.
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