Our NBA player props and expert picks for Sunday based on the best NBA odds get you ready for the second day of the 2024 NBA Playoffs.
The opening weekend of the 2024 NBA Playoffs concludes with four more first-round matchups on Sunday, including two particularly intriguing contests.
The Dallas Mavericks seek revenge against the Los Angeles Clippers, having suffered playoff losses to them in 2020 (4-2) and 2021 (4-3).
Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks square off in a matchup filled with regular-season drama.
Here are our NBA player props and expert picks for Sunday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Sunday's NBA expert picks
- Kristaps Porzingis Under 19.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) ????
- Derrick Jones Over 0.5 3-pointers (-112 via DraftKings) ???
- Damian Lillard Under 7.5 assists (-115 via DraftKings) ????
- Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 blocks (-119 via BetRivers) ?????
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Sunday's NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
- Heat vs. Celtics | Spread: Celtics -13.5 | Total: 208.5
- Mavericks vs. Clippers | Spread: Mavericks -1.5 | Total: 223.5
- Pacers vs. Bucks | Spread: Pacers -1.5 | Total: 231.5
- Pelicans vs. Thunder | Spread: Thunder -8.5 | Total: 214.5
As I wrote this pick, the under moved from -115 to -118, indicating it's on the right side. The rest of our best sports betting sites have already moved this points prop down to 18.5. With a projection closer to 17.5 points, there is value in fading Kristaps Porzingis in a matchup against Heat center Bam Adebayo. He only cleared this mark once in three head-to-head matchups with the Heat. I would pay up to -130 juice for Under 19.5 points, but look for other avenues to bet against Porzingis if FanDuel drops this line to 18.5. Best odds: -118 via FanDuel Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets New customers only. Deposit min. $10. Place first bet of $5+ and get $150 in Bonus Bets win or lose (within 72 hours). Claim $150 Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook betting site. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly In a matchup featuring superstars Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, I'm betting on Mavericks forward Derrick Jones to hit a 3-pointer. In fairness, it's easy to envision him hitting a kick-out triple off a pass from one of the two Dallas stars. Jones has hit a 3-pointer in 58% of his games this year, averaging 1.1 triples per contest. He has knocked down one outside shot in seven of his previous 10 matchups. Given their attention to Luka and Kyrie, the Clippers will live with someone like Jones getting decent looks. With the rest of the market at -120 for this wager, I am taking this Over at -115 or better. Best odds: -112 via DraftKings Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets + No Sweat SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs ?? Claim $200 Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook betting site. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly With Giannis Antetokounmpo sidelined, point guard Damian Lillard will shoulder more of the burden for the Bucks. But that should be more from a scoring perspective and less as a facilitator. The best sportsbooks, such as Pinnacle, charge as much as -150 for this Under. That's because Lillard is projected for six dimes and has only cleared this mark in 37% of his games with the Bucks. He has done so once in six matchups against the Pacers. With the market overreacting to Lillard's props, I'm comfortable taking this Under at -130 or better. Best odds: -115 via DraftKings At least in one prop market, we are getting a discount on Chet Holmgren in his playoff debut. Due to his defensive production, Holmgren was the biggest Rookie of the Year odds contender all year. He will prove that on Sunday. Holmgren cleared 1.5 blocks in 66% of his games this season, averaging 2.3 per game. He swatted multiple shots in all three matchups against the New Orleans Pelicans, who tend to put more pressure on the rim than most. This Over is priced as high as -142 at Caesars, so grab this discount at BetRivers before tipoff. Best odds: -119 via BetRivers NBA player props made Saturday at 11:05 a.m. ET. (21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER) Here are our best NBA betting sites:
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