The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-120) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 11-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 13-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 6.76 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-1, 3.60 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- Blaze Alexander has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 12-12 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.84% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -14.49% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.39% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 11.3% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -32.81% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 25.69% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (21 Total Bases / 22 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 0 Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed an OPS of 1.475 (25 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .611 — 0 Percentile.
Tommy Henry has allowed a slugging percentage of .892 (33 Total Bases / 37 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .544 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (24/102) against Tommy Henry on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (26/68) against Steven Matz this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .292 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .220 — fourth Percentile.
Steven Matz has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (45/87) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.