Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 23

The Toronto Blue Jays (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Blue Jays are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 13-10 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-2, 8.17 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-2, 3.75 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 2.64% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 6.81% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -17.91% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 6.93% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.49% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 11.46% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -30% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 21.82% ROI

Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (204 SO in 594 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 52% (13/25) against Kevin Gausman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (506/1,403) against Kevin Gausman since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 34% (107 SO in 315 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (4 Total Bases / 35 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .139 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .139 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .253 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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