The Atlanta Braves (+165) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-200) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EST in Port St Lucie.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this Spring Training, the Braves are 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 1-2 ATS.
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Patrick Mazeika has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 away games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 57 away games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games at home (+23.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 78 games at home (+23.27 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -54.9% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -37.08% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -39.71% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 91.04% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kolby Allard has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 15th, 2022 — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 11.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .955 (84 Total Bases / 88 ABs) when he was behind in the count last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed an OPS of 1.539 (106 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .500 against Carlos Carrasco (44-for-88) when he was behind in the count last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 0 Percentile.