The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Twins vs Rays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far in Spring Training, the Twins are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 4-0 ATS.
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -50.48% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -20.62% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 1.23% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 4-0 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 98.02% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 22.22% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has not allowed a HR in any of his last three games started dating back to August 8th, 2021 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Kenta Maeda has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 31 of 760 batters (4%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Zach Eflin did not walk any of the 33 batters that he faced over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .444 (20-for-45) against Zach Eflin on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — third Percentile.