The New York Yankees (+120) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Sunday, March 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in North Port.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Yankees vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Yankees are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 2-4 ATS.
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Travis Demeritte has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 41.76% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -50.59% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -40.14% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 7.74% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -2.31% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 41% (105 SO in 258 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon elevated 49% of his pitches (296/606) when ahead in the count last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon elevated 50% of his pitches (357/711) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had a strikeout rate of 39% (56/142) with runners in scoring position last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (427/732) last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 45% (648/1,442) against Charlie Morton last season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (63/190) against Charlie Morton with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.