Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17

The New York Yankees (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Yankees are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 10-8 ATS.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-1, 2.12 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-2, 11.58 ERA

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.75 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.75 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Cavan Biggio has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 69% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 9-9 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 1.51% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 18.75% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -31.6% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 23.14% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 2.59% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 5.48% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -15.19% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 5.28% ROI

Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Alex Verdugo (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Gausman (TOR) 5.5 -140 5.5 +105
Marcus Stroman (NYY) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (77/130) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 45% (45/100) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (144/227) against Marcus Stroman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 59% of the time (77/130) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (500/1,379) against Kevin Gausman since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 77% (2,301/3,009) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 11.57 (9.1 IP)this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 4.15 — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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