White Sox vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 8

The Chicago White Sox (+100) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EST in Surprise.

The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The White Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the White Sox are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 8-1 ATS.

White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 9% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+13.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 8.1% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 5.62% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -44% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 35.02% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 8-1 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 67.08% ROI).

  • 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 69.38% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 38.69% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -44.95% ROI

Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Cease walked 54 of 480 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Dylan Cease allowed a slugging percentage of just .165 (65 Total Bases / 393 ABs) with two-strikes last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.9 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of the 2021 season (313 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 86.9

Brad Keller had a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (334/616) last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .367 (365 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .276 — second Percentile.

  
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