The Minnesota Twins (+165) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-200) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Twins vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Twins are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 4-3 ATS.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 2-5 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -41.95% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.57% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 6.1% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -15.07% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 23.9% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 36.47% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 22.44% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -30.26% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has not allowed a hit to any of the last 33 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.
The last hit on a Bailey Ober fastball was September 21st, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his fastball. — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.
Bailey Ober allowed an OBP of just .133 (45 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.
Bailey Ober allowed a slugging percentage of just .266 (21 Total Bases / 79 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 91st Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.