UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for April 6th with Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis headlining the main event in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 6:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.
WagerTalk also offers Free UFC Picks all year long!
Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis: UFC Fight Night Main Event
SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS
Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code. Thanks for signing up!
You are not eligible for this offer
ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
UFC Fight Night Predictions
Melissa Mullins -278 vs Nora Cornolle +225
Great value on the underdog here, and Cornolle with absolutely be the pick here. Both women won their UFC debuts, and even though the scorecards were curious for Cornolle, she showed great heart as she reversed position several times against Joselyn Edwards, had exceptional cardio, and even though I thought she lost that fight, it was a momentum builder for her career.
Mullins has solid takedowns and a good ground game, but she has a big weakness in her striking defense. She's been bloodied up badly in her last two fights, and Cornolle can do the same if she maintains distance control and patience.
Mullins has shown really good ground and pound, but Cornolle has shown the ability to get out of tricky situations on the ground, and I think we see Mullins get takedowns, but we also will see Mullins get out of trouble and land the better strikes on the feet. It's a great price on a fight that should be pretty close, it's a dog or pass fight.
Dylan Budka -155 vs Cesar Almeida +130
Just stay away from betting this fight. Almeida pulled a nice upset on Contender Series when he out-grappled the grappler which was a stunner because he comes from a kickboxing background.
He looked good, but I don't think we have enough info to made an educated guess as to what he's going to look like in this fight.
Budka is coming off one of the more bizarre Contender Series fights we've seen where his opponent gassed out, and wrapped up Budka for most of the fight and refused to engage in a fight.
Dana White ripped the opponent, and then the guy tested positive for cocaine. We didn't get a chance to see much from Budka so I don't see how we can make a bet in this fight. Move on to other fights.
Jean Matsumoto -185 vs Dan Argueta +154
I get a UFC veteran with a proven track record against a guy coming off of Contender Series? Sign me up. Fun Fact: Argueta's last two fights have been no contests as he was easily beating Ronnie Lawrence and the ref stopped the fight a couple of seconds too early, but make no mistake…Argueta was going to win.
Then he got beat by Miles Johns, but it turns out Johns was on steroids so the fight got ruled a no-contest. Argueta has been getting better, and his advantage in this fight will be the wrestling and experience.
Matsumoto put on a good performance on Contender Series, but we've seen over and over again that these Contender Series guys don't look good in their UFC debut, and Matsumoto hasn't faced anything like the pressure and wrestling that Argueta will put on him. Even in his Contender Series fight, Matsumoto's opponent had a good moment in top position at the end of round two.
Matsumoto has decent cardio, but Argueta's is going to be better and if this fight is close, it should be advantage Argueta in the final round. Love Argueta in this one.
Norma Dumont -185 vs Germaine de Randamie +164
I would absolutely love to play Randamie at this price, but the fact is she hasn't fought since October 2020 due to an injury layoff and having a baby, and she's now 40 years old.
Fighting-wise, Randamie is longer, rangier, and has a huge reach and striking advantage. She's also fought the best of the best and her only UFC losses are to Amanda Nunes. Dumont has won three in a row, but they are to pretty bad opponents.
Dumont won her last fight against Chelsea Chandler in unimpressive fashion, and for most of the fight she was on top of Chandler in top position not doing a lot of damage.
Normally, I would love Randamie, but the layoff is a big red flag. I'll just take the over as Dumont is a decision machine (7 straight in the UFC), and I don't see a 40-year-old Randamie finishing someone in her first fight back.
Alex Morono -340 vs Court McGee +270
It's a steep price, but I love Morono in this one. Morono has lost two of three, but one was a loss to Joquin Buckley who looks like a real contender in this division, and the other was a loss to Ponzinibbio where Morono took the fight on a few days short notice and was winning til he gassed and got knocked out in the third.
It's a great buy low spot for Morono who is facing Court McGee who has to be about done in the UFC.
He's lost 5 out of 7 fights, and after going his entire career without being finished he's gotten knocked out in round one in consecutive fights by Jeremiah Wells and Matt Brown, which are terrible looks. Don't overthink this one, use Morono as a parlay piece.
Valter Walker -395 vs Lukasz Brzeski +310
Brzeski won on Contender Series, but got popped for PED's after that and he's lost his three UFC fights, although a lot of people think he won against Martin Buday. In his last two fights, he's shown bad cardio and wrestling against Karl Williams, and then he got KO'd by Cortes-Acosta, which is Cortes-Acosta's only finish in the UFC.