The Minnesota Twins (-120) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s game with 53.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+1.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in his last away game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+1.80 Units / 180% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Over in his last away game (+1.60 Units / 160% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 away games (+11.39 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 54% (13/24) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
67% of Pablo Lopez’s called strikeouts were low in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 37% (73/195) against Pablo Lopez when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez allowed an OBP of just .254 (393 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 31% (242/783) against Cole Ragans in the 2023 season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Cole Ragans had a strikeout rate of 39% (28/72) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed an OPS of just .556 (299 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (44 Total Bases / 203 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.