Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 28

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 0-0 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .139 (52-for-374) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 91st Percentile.

Jose Berrios threw his curveball 31% of the time (240/781) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.

46 of Jose Berrios’ 184 strikeouts (25%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 91st Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (95/490) versus Zach Eflin in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin allowed an OBP of just .180 (372 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.

Zach Eflin’s K:BB ratio was 7.8 (186/24) in the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 97th Percentile.

Zach Eflin allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (11 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 99th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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