The SMU Mustangs (8-2) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (8-2) on Nov. 18 in Memphis.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. Memphis Over/Under is 66.5 total points.
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SMU vs Memphis Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 69.3% confidence.
SMU vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 69.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+1.75 Units / 3% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Best SMU Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Preston Stone has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Preston Stone has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tyler Lavine has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Kerley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Preston Stone has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Blake Watson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- SMU is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 5.85% ROI
- SMU is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- SMU is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -51.82% ROI).
- Memphis is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 13.79% ROI
- Memphis is 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
- Memphis is 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI
SMU is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .569
SMU is 16-2 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .572
SMU is undefeated (7-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .589
SMU was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .557
Memphis is undefeated (6-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .454
Memphis is undefeated (5-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– tied for 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .435
Memphis is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– tied for 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .409
Memphis is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 31st-best in FBS; Average: .568
Memphis’s QBs has thrown for 2,647 passing yards in 9 games (294.1 YPG) this season — 14th-best among FBS teams. SMU’s defense has allowed just 179.3 passing yards per game this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.