Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 29

The Colorado Rockies (+185) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-225) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 1-0 ATS.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s game with 64.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.65 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Ahmed has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Blaze Alexander has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.60 Units / 160% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.12 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 92.59% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 45.87% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI

Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 15% (19/128) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill located 67% of his pitches away (602/900) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (42/229) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 6% (7/127) against Cal Quantrill on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

54 of Merrill Kelly’s 187 strikeouts (29%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

66% of Merrill Kelly’s called strikeouts were low in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (120/190) against Merrill Kelly on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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