The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-150) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 2-1 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.85 Units / 185% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.75 Units / 71% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+5.50 Units / 183% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.55 Units / 111% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+4.10 Units / 137% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in his last 3 games (+4.00 Units / 133% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 1 away games (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.02 Units / 102% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -100% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 23.06% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.54 Units / 49.68% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.82 Units / 25.23% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.37 Units / -40.65% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH against his fastballs since the 2022 season (266 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 90.6
Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.6 MPH on inside pitches since the 2022 season (261 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7
Opponents had a chase percentage of 48% (154/323) against Joe Musgrove with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (7/50) against Joe Musgrove on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.