The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Reds are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 7-11 ATS.

Reds vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 1-1, 2.60 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 2-1, 1.97 ERA

Reds vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Andrew Abbott has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -12.07% ROI).

• 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.23% ROI
• 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 33.42% ROI
• 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -44.47% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -20.63% ROI).

• 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -17.35% ROI
• 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -30.56% ROI
• 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 21.86% ROI

Mariners vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 30% (11 SO in 37 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 11% (2 SO in 18 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (27/121) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 15% (3 SO in 20 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — sixth Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .108 (4-for-37) against Bryce Miller this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 against Bryce Miller vs left-handed batters this season — seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP– 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .303 (70-for-231) against him last season — tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– seventh Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Bryce Miller this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (68/215) against Bryce Miller since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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