The Tampa Bay Rays (+145) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-175) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Rays are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-1 ATS.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 away games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games at home (+12.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 65.29% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 41.79% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 47.62% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .233 (30-for-129) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen allowed an OPS of just .634 (88 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .388 (50 Total Bases / 129 ABs) when behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .592 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 36% (60/167) against Drew Rasmussen when he was behind in the count last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile .
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a chase rate of 42% (245/578) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 39% (570/1,446) against Kevin Gausman last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a BABIP of .363 last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.