The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Friday, March 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Marlins vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Marlins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-2 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Charles Leblanc has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Willians Astudillo has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Albert Pujols has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -51.72% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -46.4% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -6.19% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 24.39% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.72% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -24.11% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 15.74% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season (133 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 16% (102/627) against Miles Mikolas last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
50% of Miles Mikolas’ called strikeouts were inside last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.