The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Phillies are 14-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-10 ATS.

Phillies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 3-0, 1.80 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 4.36 ERA

Phillies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 10-12 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -8.27% ROI).

• 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 6.39% ROI
• 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -22.38% ROI
• 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 12.89% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 11-10 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.52% ROI).

• 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 7.72% ROI
• 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 16.77% ROI
• 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -28.1% ROI

Reds vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.9 MPH (45 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (40/63) against Ranger Suarez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has pitched 18.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 22.2.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (180/296) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 53% (10 SO in 19 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

63% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 34% (102/296) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 36% (19/52) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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