The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Saturday, October 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Houston for this World Series game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 96-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 90-79 ATS.
Phillies vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Astros Prediction for Today’s World Series Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s World Series matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today, World Series
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Astros vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Astros vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Astros vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Zack Wheeler | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 90-83 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 1.14% ROI).
- 96-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 88-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 0.71% ROI
- 79-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.6 Units / -8.75% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 90-79 against the Run Line (+12.65 Units / 6.32% ROI).
- 113-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.6 Units / 7.64% ROI
- 62-97 when betting on the total runs Over for -43.45 Units / -23.45% ROI
- 97-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.2 Units / 15.07% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (459 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 85.3
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (598 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH since the start of last season (936 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (119/174) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (539/783) against Framber Valdez since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (394/825) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.