Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22
Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 22

The San Diego Padres (-190) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+155) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 10-12 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 2-1, 1.99 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-1, 4.95 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ty Blach has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 72% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 139 games (+6.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 12-12 against the Run Line (+1.77 Units / 6.17% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.21 Units / -0.74% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.07 Units / 0.26% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -7.77% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 10-12 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -15.94% ROI).

  • 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -43.08% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -4.53% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -4.15% ROI

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .233 (90 PAs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .026 (1-for-39) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

5 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .133 (45 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (270 Total Bases / 424 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Austin Gomber in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (165 Total Bases / 254 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .455 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .984 (220 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 0 Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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