Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 6

The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Padres are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 3-4 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+3.85 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 89 away games (+10.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 11.7% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -14.97% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -16.67% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 11.84% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -11.18% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.96% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 8.97% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -17.11% ROI

Nick Martinez has not allowed a hit to any of the last 36 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.

Nick Martinez has pitched 10.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.

Opponents batted just .059 (1-for-17) against Nick Martinez versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .214 — 94th Percentile.

Nick Martinez allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — tied for 12th best among among 141 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 92nd Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard had second base stolen on him 25 times last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard allowed 30 stolen bases last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard had third base stolen on him 5 times last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

  
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