The San Diego Padres (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Padres are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-7 ATS.
Padres vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 2-0, 4.19 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.70 Units / 69% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-9 against the Run Line (+4.27 Units / 18.26% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.94 Units / 7.98% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.47 Units / 11.16% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -17.71% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-7 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 6.36% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 24.23% ROI
- 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 43.91% ROI
- 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -51.41% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has walked 12 of 46 left-handed batters (26%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Michael King has a strike rate of just 54% (103/190) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Michael King has walked 13 of 88 batters (15%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 34% (65/190) against Michael King this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 74% (26 SO in 35 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 42% (18/43) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 39% (26 SO in 66 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 48% (20 SO in 42 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.