Denver heads to Los Angeles with a 2-0 series lead entering Thursday's Game 3, as we offer our best Nuggets vs. Lakers player props based on the best NBA odds.
Jamal Murray hit one of the best clutch shots in NBA playoffs history to secure a 2-0 series lead for the Denver Nuggets (57-25). He'll look to stay hot Thursday against the Los Angeles Lakers (47-35) for Game 3, which tips off at 10 p.m. ET on TNT from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, Calif.
The Nuggets are 1-point favorites across our best sports betting sites to extend their 10-game win streak over the Lakers, whose NBA championship odds are on life support after blowing two big leads to open this first-round series.
Here are our best Nuggets vs. Lakers player props and NBA picks for Game 3 (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 player props
- Anthony Davis Under 25.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) ????
- Jamal Murray Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-115 via FanDuel) ????
- LeBron James Over 4.5 1Q points (-115 via bet365) ???
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Nuggets vs. Lakers prop bet predictions for Thursday
Nearly all of the bets I make are firmly rooted in quantitative research. This one, admittedly, is largely qualitative in nature.
Davis came out swinging in Game 2, scoring 24 of his 32 points by halftime before cooling off late. Then his team blew a 20-point lead that ended with M urray drilling a jumper over Davis as time expired, and the All-NBA center all but threw his team (and coach) under the bus after the game.
That sounds like a defeated man if I've ever heard one. While I think he'll be involved on Thursday, I'd be surprised if Davis – who is known for having a passive streak at times – carries the same zeal for scoring the basketball as he did entering Game 2.
Best odds: -110 via DraftKings
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Murray has made a living in the mid-range (see: Game 2), but he's one of the most dangerous 3-point shooters in the NBA – especially in the postseason.
The Nuggets guard ranks in the top 25 among active players in postseason 3-point makes (153) and 3-point percentage (40%), and he had hit at least three triples in five straight games before going 0-for-5 on Monday.
Three of our five best sportsbooks have the Over for this prop at -130 or shorter, which carries an implied percentage of at least 56.5% via our odds converter. Instead, these -115 odds imply a 53.49% hit rate and pay out $18.70 on a $10 wager, which feels like one of the best values ahead of Game 3.
Best odds: -115 via FanDuel
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Los Angeles has started hot in both games this series, and I fully expect James to be the catalyst early in a must-win game on Thursday.
The King has trailed 0-2 in a series only nine previous times in his career, most recently in last year's Western Conference Finals against these very Nuggets. He scored five points in the first quarter of that Game 3 contest, and he'll need a similar effort to spark the Lakers on Thursday.
We've already seen an aggressive approach through two games, as James scored 12 points in the first quarter of Game 1 and added five more to open Game 2. With a 53.49% implied probability on these -115 odds, this feels like a nice way to bet the NBA's all-time scoring leader in a do-or-die spot.
Best odds: -115 via bet365
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Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 3 info & odds
- When: Thursday, April 25
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, Calif.
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Nuggets -1 (-105 via bet365)
Nuggets-Lakers player props made Wednesday at 6 p.m. ET.
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