Each week, I'll provide my favorite Sunday parlay and my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. We’ve got a shorter slate for this week, with three games on Thanksgiving Thursday. So without further ado, here are this week's parlay picks.
Week 12 NFL parlay
- Jaguars +4
- Bengals -120 moneyline
- Odds:'+249
Full disclosure: This might be my least favorite Sunday slate of the season from a betting perspective. And I never want to wedge picks in just for the heck of it.
The Jaguars have had a week to prepare for Baltimore’s unique yet recently ineffective offense. And while the Ravens still rank 5th in offensive DVOA, Lamar Jackson and this passing game are clearly off. I don’t think Jackson has the weapons to exploit a Jaguars secondary that ranks 31st against the pass. Jacksonville has been average against the run, which could be good enough. If you want to juice this parlay up, I don’t mind taking Jacksonville at +170 on the moneyline.
Cincinnati is one of my favorite plays on the slate. In case I haven’t mentioned it before, I’m skeptical of the 7-3 Tennessee Titans, who have beaten the Raiders, Colts twice, Commanders with Carson Wentz, Texans, Broncos, and Chargers. The Titans are first in run defense DVOA, which is fine, considering Joe Mixon might not be healthy for Cincinnati. But they aren’t elite when it comes to rushing the passer. I expect Joe Burrow to light up a Tennessee secondary that’s only been exposed by Josh Allen so far this year.
Backing Zac Taylor against Mike Vrabel is scary, but I suspect the Bengals will find a way to move the ball and limit Derrick Henry.
Chicago Bears at New York Jets (-4.5) | Total 40.5
- Jets -4.5
- David Montgomery over rushing attempts
This game is rather up in the air. We know that New York will start Mike White instead of Zach Wilson at quarterback. What we don’t know is whether Justin Fields will play. Fields is dealing with a dislocated left shoulder, and his status for Sunday is pretty unclear.
Bears head coach Matt Eberflus says QB Justin Fields “remains day-to-day” but he has been cleared to practice today. They're having a walkthrough, and it'll be estimated that he's limited.
— Kevin Fishbain (@kfishbain) November 23, 2022