Michigan vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

The Michigan Wolverines (10-0) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (6-4) on Nov. 18 in College Park.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Maryland Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Michigan vs Maryland Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 91.6% confidence.

Michigan vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jeshaun Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 5.94% ROI).

  • Michigan is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • Michigan is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • Michigan is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Maryland is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -14.32% ROI
  • Maryland is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Maryland is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan is 15-2 (.882) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .372

Michigan is 35-2 (.946) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .542

Michigan is 11-1 (.917) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .411

Michigan is 20-1 (.952) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .534

Maryland is 1-8 (.100) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379

Maryland was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .545

Maryland is 15-2 (.789) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: .572

Maryland is 5-4 (.556) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .369

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 2,536 passing yards in 9 games (281.8 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 134.6 passing yards per game this season — best among P5 defenses.

Maryland’s TEs has gained 491 yards on 52 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — tied for 14th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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