Michigan State vs. Penn State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 2-14-2024

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Michigan State (15-9 SU, 13-10-1 ATS, 7-6 B10) travels to State College, Pa. to take on Penn State (12-12 SU, 12-12 ATS, 6-7 B10) on Wednesday night at 6:30pmET.

These teams last met on Jan. 4 with the Spartans winning 92-61 at home as Malik Hall led the way with 24 points for Sparty, while Kanye Clary added 21 points and five assists for PSU.

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Michigan State sits at No. 23 in the latest NCAA Net Rankings, which gives them a strong shot of making the NCAA Tournament. Jerry Palm has the Spartans rated at No. 9 in the West in his latest Bracketology, which means they have work to do to avoid the dreaded 11th seed, which ends up in the First Four.  After losing to Minnesota on Feb. 6 as a 3.5-point road favorite, MSU bounced back with an 88-80 win over No. 10 Illinois at home on Saturday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Spartans have been playing pretty good basketball, especially at home where they are 13-2. But on the road, they are just 1-5 and need to improve their tournament resume'.

In their last game, the Spartans trailed by eight with 7:39 left and went on a 24-8 scoring run to end the game. A.J. Hoggard led the way with 23 points and Hall added 22, while Tyson Walker contributed 19 points. MSU made 52.7% of their free throws and made more foul sho ts (25) than the Illini attempted (20). Illinois was held to 43% shooting from the field.

Overall, MSU is led by Walker, a Northeastern transfer, who averages 19 points, 3.0 assists and 2.0 steals, while shooting 39% from beyond the arc. Hoggard is the main point guard (5.0apg, 1.3spg) and allows Walker to play more off the ball. KenPom has the Spartans at 15th overall and 26th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. Defensively, most Tom Izzo teams are going to be strong on that end and this one is no different. They allow 65.6 points per game on 39.9% shooting (21st) and 31.6% from long range. On offense, they average 75.1 points per game and shoot 47.5% from the field (37.% 3pt)>

  
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