Mets vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for July 25 (Trust the Home Team in Subway Series Showdown)

Two teams vying to stay alive in their respective Wild Card races meet head-to-head on Tuesday night as the New York Mets (46-53) visit the New York Yankees (53-47).

  1. Mets vs Yankees Game Info
  2. Mets vs Yankees Odds & Spread
  3. Mets vs Yankees Betting Trends
  4. Mets vs Yankees Prediction & Pick
  5. Mets vs Yankees Best Bet

Mets vs Yankees Game Info

  • Date:'Tuesday, July 25, 2023
  • Time:'7:05 p.m. ET
  • Venue:'Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY
  • Coverage:'TBS, SNY and YES Network

The Mets come to the Bronx fresh off a disappointing series as they lost two of three games against the Boston Red Sox. Meanwhile, the Yankees enter with momentum after they swept the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. Which team will earn a win in the first matchup of the 2023 Subway Series?

Mets vs Yankees Odds & Spread

  • Moneyline:'NYM: (-112) | NYY: (-104)
  • Spread:'NYM: -1.5 (+140) | NYY: +1.5 (-170)
  • Total:'8.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

The Mets enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:05 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 8.5 runs with the Under favored at -115 odds.

Mets vs Yankees Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 1-4 straight up in their last five away games.
  • The total has hit the under in four of the Mets' last five games against the Yankees.
  • The Yankees are 5-2 straight up in their last seven games against the NL East.
  • The total has hit the over in four of the Yankee's last five home games.

Mets vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

This is not only a massive series when it comes to the Wild Card races, but it is massive for bragging rights as well. The Mets are sending Justin Verlander to the mound behind his 3.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 14 starts (4-5 record). He has allowed less than 3 earned runs in four of his last five starts.

The Yankees are countering with Domingo German. The 30-year-old has posted a 4.52 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 18 appearances (5-6 record). He has certainly had his ups and downs in 2023, but now gets to face a Mets lineup that ranks 21st in batting average against right-handed pitchers (.240).

This one could come down to the final few innings, which is where the Yankees have an advantage. Manager Aaron Boone's team leads all of baseball in bullpen ERA (3.21). On the other side, the Mets' bullpen has allowed the third-most home runs in the league (49). Back the home team to pull away.

Final Score Prediction:'Mets: 4 | Yankees: 5

Mets vs Yankees Best Bet

Keeping it simple and backing the Yankees along the moneyline is the best way to go. The Yankees have won five of their last seven games against an NL E ast opponent and now face a starting pitcher with a 5.18 ERA on the road this year. Not only that, but the Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in each of their last three games. Hitters have found a groove, which is a good sign for the home team.


  
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