The New York Mets (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Mets are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-14 ATS.
Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-1, 2.14 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 2-1, 2.94 ERA
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 74% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 62% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-10 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 16.24% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 8.83% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.26% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -13.79% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -17.13% ROI).
- 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -17.54% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 8.85% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -16.95% ROI
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino has an ERA of 7.55 (53.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 4.40 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Luis Severino — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (55 Total Bases / 81 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (97/186) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (28/38) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (35/79) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (16/70) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 71 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.