The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Marlins vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Marlins are 1-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-2 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Erik Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Charles Leblanc has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rene Pinto has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+14.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 90 games (+14.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 1-7 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -73.33% ROI).
- 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -63.78% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -5.52% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 49.5% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -18.09% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.77% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -27.43% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (1,027/1,420) against right-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had second base stolen on him 24 times last season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (679/939) in two strike counts last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has had second base stolen on him 37 times since the start of the 2021 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .194 (116-for-597) against Shane McClanahan last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Shane McClanahan allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (63 Total Bases / 348 ABs) with two-strikes last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 34% (418/1,220) against Shane McClanahan last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.