The Houston Astros (-105) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Astros vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Astros are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 5-3 ATS.
Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Castro has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 5-2 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 34.88% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 32.12% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -46.54% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 38.26% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 5-3 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 34.97% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 4.52% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -15.64% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 9.25% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 11% (4/36) versus Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty had a strike rate of just 59% (230/391) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty walked 12 of 102 batters (12%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty had a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (56/102) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.
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