Based on the best NBA odds, our Lakers vs. Nuggets player props have dialed into the 3-point market for Saturday's Game 1.
In a rematch of last year's Western Conference Finals, the NBA championship odds-contender Denver Nuggets will host the Los Angeles Lakers during the opening round of the playoffs, with Game 1 tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Ball Arena in Denver, Co.
After sweeping the Lakers in the WCF, the Nuggets are getting plenty of respect from our best sports betting sites ahead of the rematch. They are 7.5-point favorites for Game 1, though only one of their four victories last year would have covered that line.
But has that created some value for an improved Los Angeles team?
Here are our best Lakers vs. Nuggets player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lakers vs. Nuggets player props for Saturday
- D'Angelo Russell Under 2.5 3-pointers (+122 via FanDuel) ????
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 1.5 3-pointers (-148 via DraftKings) ???
- Anthony Davis Under 0.5 3-pointers (-130 via Fanatics) ????
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Lakers vs. Nuggets prop bet predictions
Lakers point guard D'Angelo Russell struggled in last year's matchup against the Nuggets, averaging 6.3 points and 3.5 assists per game while hitting two 3-pointers in four contests.
He might produce better results than that, but this is still a matchup that bothers him due to Denver's length and switching ability.
Russell hasn't hit more than two 3-poin ters in each of his last seven meetings against the Nuggets. I'm comfortable betting the +122 price at FanDuel on that trend, especially when most of our best sports betting apps offer +105 odds for the same ticket.
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There is value on a points prop of 9.5 for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, but I prefer needing him to hit just two 3-pointers against his former team. It also doesn't hurt that Pinnacle charges 30 cents more for the Nuggets guard to hit multiple triples.
KCP has cleared this mark in five straight games against the Lakers and seven of his previous nine such matchups.
With Jamal Murray drawing the best defensive assignment in the backcourt, I expect Caldwell-Pope to have an advantageous matchup in this series. Such is life when trying to defend the Nuggets.
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For the Lakers to have a chance, Anthony Davis has to be a bigger offensive threat than his 20-point effort against the New Orleans Pelicans in the Play-In Tournament. But that doesn't mean he should take a 3-pointer after not attempting one on Tuesday.
Davis still hasn't succeeded with his jumper in the team's new five-out offense. He hit a triple in 29% of regular-season games and only three of his previous 10 matchups against the Nuggets.
Fanatics offers a favorable -130 value on Davis not hitting a 3-pointer, compared to the -139 offering at most of our best sportsbooks.
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Lakers vs. Nuggets game info & odds
- When: Saturday, April 20
- Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Co.
- How to watch: ABC
- Favorite: Nuggets -7.5 (-105 via BetMGM)
Lakers-Nuggets player props made Thursday at 11:55 a.m. ET.
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